NCAAB Basketball Picks - Betting Double Digit Favs

How to get great NCAAB picks:

 By Tom Plese  

Actually, every squad, whether away, home, underdog or favorite, might be worth paying attention in particular spots, so do not set your limits - there's an edge for any of these spots.

I'm gonna look at those squads which ought to achieve victory, those double digit favorites in college basketball.

While they barely win 49,3%ATS, sometimes they are underrated, for instance if they dropped their previous game and were favoured in that previous game. In that case they are 50,5% ATS. Its because of that loss, and its also easier to wager on, lets say, 15 point dog than a 5 point dog, for one starts game with pretty large odds, although you bet on worse squad.

And if our big fav lost as well previous matchup with current opposition, we again get a little odds movement toward that squad and that produces 52,3% ATS for our team. This percentage is precisely on the border of profitability,so we will need minimum one more edge to apply to get profitable trend. It can be that our squad, as well didn't win last 2 games, and as a consequence its recent performance is not looking too good.

This will add to our squad around 1,5 point edge usually - or 56,5% vs the line. Take care though, do not anticipate that you can find too many double digit favorites coming of 2 straight losses. But it is rewarding system which will help you find winning plays. Still do not forget you should look at all other influences which our system doesn't weight. Stuff like, for example, injuries, exhaustion or odds movements. These will influence the outcome of every game.

The point is: do not put money blindly any system, it will usually lead to poor house. You need to explore completely the matches for which the trend suggests you should get some advantage. And then decide whether to wager cash on that big fav squad.

Tom P. is basketball expert, on Toples Totals, among other handicappers [http://www.toplestotals.com] on other sports.

Article Source: https://EzineArticles.com/expert/Tom_Plese/723916 

 

Looking Inside the Numbers for Winning Sports Picks

 Winning sports picks guide for betting success:

By Frank Benjamin  

Many sports bettors look and compare team statistics. Though I believe this is an important handicapping tactic, not everyone does it correctly.

Many people just look at the stats that the league provides; simple offensive and defensive numbers. I believe this a huge mistake when it comes to handicapping.

By listening and believing these simple statistics, a bettor can be blinded by the hype of certain numbers and statistics. If you read my free betting guide, The Bettor's Guide to Sports Investing, you will know that I delve deeper into the numbers.

When I compare teams, I like to put them on equal ground. I do this because each team is unique and plays different opponents, has different tendencies, etc. It is only when you compare apples to apples that you truly find how the teams match up to each other, and ignore the sports pundits' hype.

Of all of my tips for betting sports, breaking done stats is one of my favorites

An example of this is the Green Bay Packers run game. Coming into Super Bowl XLV, ESPN and other sports shows were touting the Packers' run game. They were saying that its' production has increased during the playoffs.

However, if you look inside the numbers, you will see that it's production is the same. During the regular season, the Packers rushing game was averaging 3.8 yards per carry. In the first three playoff games leading up to the Super Bowl, they averaged 3.7 yards per carry.

The only different is that they were averaging 15.6 yards more per game. The reason for this was due to the game plan. During the regular season, Green Bay ran the ball an average of 26.3 times per game. The number rushing plays was increased to 31.7 in the playoffs.

Though I will go even deeper inside the numbers when handicapping, this is one example how hype and statistics can lie to you and, possibly, lead you into the wrong direction.

You can read more of Frank Benjamin's tips for betting on sports and download a copy of his free betting guide on his blog, Odds On Betting [http://oddsonbetting.net].

Article Source: https://EzineArticles.com/expert/Frank_Benjamin/349053