How to get great NCAAB picks:
By Tom Plese
Actually, every squad, whether away, home, underdog or favorite, might be worth paying attention in particular spots, so do not set your limits - there's an edge for any of these spots.
I'm gonna look at those squads which ought to achieve victory, those double digit favorites in college basketball.
While they barely win 49,3%ATS, sometimes they are underrated, for instance if they dropped their previous game and were favoured in that previous game. In that case they are 50,5% ATS. Its because of that loss, and its also easier to wager on, lets say, 15 point dog than a 5 point dog, for one starts game with pretty large odds, although you bet on worse squad.
And if our big fav lost as well previous matchup with current opposition, we again get a little odds movement toward that squad and that produces 52,3% ATS for our team. This percentage is precisely on the border of profitability,so we will need minimum one more edge to apply to get profitable trend. It can be that our squad, as well didn't win last 2 games, and as a consequence its recent performance is not looking too good.
This will add to our squad around 1,5 point edge usually - or 56,5% vs the line. Take care though, do not anticipate that you can find too many double digit favorites coming of 2 straight losses. But it is rewarding system which will help you find winning plays. Still do not forget you should look at all other influences which our system doesn't weight. Stuff like, for example, injuries, exhaustion or odds movements. These will influence the outcome of every game.
The point is: do not put money blindly any system, it will usually lead to poor house. You need to explore completely the matches for which the trend suggests you should get some advantage. And then decide whether to wager cash on that big fav squad.
Tom P. is basketball expert, on Toples Totals, among other handicappers [http://www.toplestotals.com] on other sports.
Article Source: https://EzineArticles.com/expert/Tom_Plese/723916
